evs-reduce-climate-pollution,-but-by-how-much?-new-u-m-research-has-the-answer

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Motorists can now assess the greenhouse gas emissions of various vehicles based on dimensions, applications, powertrain category, and even geography

An illustration depicts four vehicles traveling along a bifurcated road. A sign above the fork indicates that the left path is "High CO2" and the right is "Low CO2." A white crossover designated PHEV for plug-in hybrid electric vehicle nears the fork. Two of the vehicles—a red pickup marked ICEV for internal combustion engine vehicle and a silver SUV identified as HEV for hybrid electric vehicle—have taken the High CO2 exit. A green sedan marked BEV for battery electric vehicle is following the Low CO2 route.
A cradle-to-grave evaluation from the University of Michigan has indicated that battery electric vehicles generate lower lifetime greenhouse gas emissions than internal combustion engine vehicles, hybrids, and plug-in hybrids across all regions in the contiguous U.S. Image credit: Dave Brenner/U-M School for Environment and Sustainability

Selecting a more electrified vehicle will lessen motorists’ greenhouse gas emissions, no matter their location in the contiguous United States, as per a fresh study from the University of Michigan.

This examination is the most thorough to date, according to the authors, providing motorists with emissions estimates per mile traveled across 35 diverse combinations of vehicle categories and powertrains. This encompassed conventional gasoline pickups, hybrid SUVs, and fully electric sedans among numerous other configurations.

Indeed, the research team developed a complimentary online calculator allowing drivers to gauge greenhouse gas emissions rooted in their vehicle type, driving habits, and local environment.

This research, published in the journal Environmental Science & Technology, received support from the State of Michigan Department of Labor and Economic Opportunity as well as the U-M Electric Vehicle Center.

Greg Keoleian
Greg Keoleian

“Vehicle electrification is a critical approach for combating climate change. Transportation contributes to 28% of greenhouse gas emissions, and it’s essential to diminish these to mitigate future climate consequences such as flooding, wildfires, and droughts, which are becoming more intense and frequent,” remarked Greg Keoleian, the principal author of the new study and a professor at the U-M School for Environment and Sustainability, or SEAS.

“Our aim was to assess the cradle-to-grave greenhouse gas reductions resulting from the electrification of vehicles compared to a baseline of gasoline vehicles.”

Besides aiding drivers in comprehending their emissions, Keoleian and associates stated that this data will also be beneficial for the automotive sector and policymakers.

While EVs face challenges from a federal policy perspective, the industry remains devoted to electrification, Keoleian stated. For instance, Ford Motor Co. recently unveiled plans for a more cost-effective electric vehicle platform, which they termed a “Model T moment” for the company.

“The government is pulling back on incentives, such as the electric vehicle tax credit, but original equipment manufacturers are significantly invested and concentrated on the technology and affordability of EVs,” Keoleian noted, who also serves as a co-director of the U-M Center for Sustainable Systems, or CSS. “EVs are becoming the prevailing powertrain in other parts of the globe, and manufacturers are aware that is the future for the U.S.”

The research team at U-M comprised CSS/SEAS research specialists Christian Hitt and Timothy Wallington, along with postdoctoral fellow Maxwell Woody and Alan Taub, a professor in materials science and engineering. Taub also directs the U-M Electric Vehicle Center. Hyung Chul Kim, a research scientist at Ford, collaborated on the project, and Elizabeth Smith is the lead author, who contributed as a master’s student at U-M before finishing in May.

A high trim level lifecycle evaluation

A grid displays the per mile greenhouse gas emissions of five different vehicle categories and seven powertrains. The categories are, from top to bottom, pickup, midsize SUV, small SUV, midsize sedan, and compact sedan. The powertrains are, from left to right, internal combustion engine, hybrid electric, plug-in hybrid with a 35-mile battery range, plug-in hybrid with a 50-mile battery range, battery electric with a 400-mile range, battery electric with a 300-mile range, and battery electric with a 200-mile range. Moving down and to the left of the grid reduces emissions. Internal combustion pickups are the most significant emitters at 486 grams of carbon dioxide equivalent per mile, also indicated at 100%. Battery electric compact sedans emit the least at 81 grams per mile, or 17%.
This chart illustrates how greenhouse gas emissions of various vehicle types compare with a gas-powered pickup truck, based on new U-M research. Grams of carbon dioxide equivalent emitted per mile are listed in parentheses. Powertrain abbreviations are as follows: ICEV = Internal combustion engine vehicle; HEV = Hybrid electric vehicle; PHEV = Plug-in hybrid electric vehicle; BEV = Battery electric vehicle. Numbers following the powertrain abbreviation signify the electric mileage range. Image credit: E. Smith et al. Environ. Sci. Technol. 2025 (DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.5c05406) Used under a CC-BY license.

In their “cradle-to-grave” evaluation, Keoleian and associates examined emissions figures not only from operating vehicles but also from producing and disposing of them. In this process, they considered various factors: powertrains, vehicle categories, driving behavior, and geographic location.

The powertrains comprised conventional internal combustion engines, hybrid electric, plug-in hybrids, and fully electric or battery electric options.

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Vehicles utilizing these powertrains are denoted as ICEV, HEV, PHEV, and BEV, respectively. For the classification of vehicles, they examined pickups, sedans, and sport utility vehicles (considering “generic” versions of these models manufactured in 2025, which reflect new vehicles available in the market).

Driving patterns encompassed familiar elements such as highway versus urban operation, but also included contemporary considerations, like the vehicle’s location and the frequency with which PHEV drivers operated on battery power instead of gasoline.

Location influences emissions in two distinct manners, Keoleian noted. Initially, all vehicles—especially BEVs and PHEVs—consume more fuel in colder temperatures and experience reduced range in regions with lower temperatures. Subsequently, power grid emissions differ by region, making it more environmentally friendly to charge EVs in areas with a cleaner grid.

By addressing all these factors within a single study, the researchers were able to compare emissions from various vehicles in a straightforward manner. This allows for a comprehensive comparison of, for instance, a gasoline-powered pickup in Perry County, Pennsylvania, with a fully electric compact sedan in San Juan County, New Mexico.

Alongside these intricate analyses, the research provided significant overarching insights. The study revealed for the first time that BEVs exhibit lower emissions throughout their lifespan compared to any other vehicle type in every county across the contiguous U.S. On average, ICE pickup trucks were the most significant emitters at 486 grams of carbon dioxide equivalent—a unit for measuring greenhouse gas emissions—per mile. Transitioning to a hybrid pickup could decrease that by 23%, whereas a fully electric pickup could lead to a 75% reduction.

A rectangular grid illustrates the per mile greenhouse gas emissions of a pickup truck under four towing scenarios and seven powertrain types. The scenarios are arranged as follows, from top to bottom: 0 pounds, 500 pounds, 1,500 pounds, and 2,500 pounds. The powertrains are laid out from left to right, comprising internal combustion engine, hybrid electric, plug-in hybrid with a 35-mile battery range, plug-in hybrid with a 50-mile battery range, battery electric with a 400-mile range, battery electric with a 300-mile range, and battery electric with a 200-mile range. As you move downward, the grams of carbon dioxide equivalent per mile increase, while moving to the right decreases them. The internal combustion engine pickup carrying no load stands at 486 grams or 100%, but raising the load to 2,500 pounds escalates emissions to 592 grams or 122%. In contrast, the battery pickup with a 200-mile range emits 121 grams, or 25%, with no additional weight and 139 grams, or 29%, when hauling 2,500 pounds.
This chart illustrates how greenhouse gas emissions from pickup trucks carrying various weights compare to a gasoline-powered pickup truck, according to recent U-M research. Figures in parentheses represent grams of carbon dioxide equivalent emitted per mile. Powertrain acronyms are as follows: ICEV = Internal combustion engine vehicle; HEV = Hybrid electric vehicle; PHEV = Plug-in hybrid electric vehicle; BEV = Battery electric vehicle. Numbers following the powertrain acronym denote the electric mileage range. Image credit: E. Smith et al. Environ. Sci. Technol. 2025 (DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.5c05406) Used under a CC-BY license

Another striking statistic emerged from the team’s examination of how emissions fluctuated while a pickup was towing weight. A BEV pickup truck transporting 2,500 pounds still emitted less than 30% compared to an ICE pickup with no load.

In general, compact sedan EVs recorded the lowest emissions at merely 81 grams of carbon dioxide equivalent per mile—less than 20% of the emissions per mile of a gas-powered pickup. The least emitting vehicle category was the compact sedan BEV with the shortest range, 200 miles. The emissions linked to manufacturing batteries for vehicles with extended ranges increased their lifetime greenhouse gas contributions.

This also emphasizes another crucial insight from the study, Keoleian stated. Beyond electrifying your vehicle, selecting the smallest car that meets your needs will further curtail emissions.

“The key is effectively aligning your vehicle choice with your requirements,” Keoleian remarked. “Certainly, if you’re in a field profession, you might require a pickup truck. However, you can opt for a battery electric pickup. If your commute is just to work solo, I would suggest a sedan BEV instead.”

With the team’s online calculator, individuals interested in vehicle emissions can receive customized answers tailored to their circumstances. The research study is freely accessible and available to read.

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